Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 7-2
Sevilla vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.79
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
CAS
1 - 2
SEV
31%
22%
47%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
SEV
3 - 1
ESP
63%
17%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ATH
2 - 1
SEV
78%
13%
10%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 1
SEV
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
SEV
5 - 4
RMA
49%
22%
30%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
CAS
1 - 2
SEV
31%
22%
47%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1941 |
CAS
3 - 2
ZAR
49%
23%
29%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
HER
2 - 2
CAS
70%
16%
14%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
CAS
5 - 2
HER
34%
23%
44%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
RSO
7 - 1
CAS
77%
13%
11%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |