Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Sevilla vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1981 |
RSO
1 - 1
SEV
69%
19%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
SEV
2 - 1
RSO
42%
29%
29%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
SEV
1 - 1
FCB
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
HER
5 - 1
SEV
42%
28%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
SEV
2 - 1
BET
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
CAD
3 - 0
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
BUR
2 - 1
MAL
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1981 |
BUR
2 - 0
FIG
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
ALA
1 - 1
BUR
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
FIG
1 - 1
BUR
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |