Sevilla vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
CDO
1 - 0
SEV
38%
31%
31%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
SEV
1 - 0
DEP
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
SAB
1 - 1
SEV
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
SEV
4 - 2
HER
68%
21%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
CAD
3 - 0
SEV
40%
30%
30%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
BUR
1 - 0
CDT
63%
23%
15%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
VAD
3 - 1
BUR
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
BUR
1 - 0
OSA
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
CCF
4 - 2
BUR
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
BUR
1 - 1
BAR
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |