Sevilla vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
CEL
1 - 0
SEV
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
SEV
1 - 0
ALA
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
SEV
3 - 3
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
MLL
2 - 1
SEV
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
SEV
2 - 0
JER
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
BUR
2 - 6
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
MLL
2 - 0
BUR
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
BUR
1 - 0
JER
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
PUE
2 - 1
BUR
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
BUR
2 - 2
ALC
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |