Europa League 1/32
Global 3-1
Sevilla vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
ALB
3 - 2
SEV
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
SEV
0 - 1
CDT
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
SEV
2 - 2
ATM
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
BET
2 - 1
SEV
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
ZAR
0 - 1
SEV
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1995 |
BOT
5 - 0
LPL
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1995 |
DOB
1 - 0
BOT
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
BOT
3 - 0
LSO
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1995 |
DTB
0 - 1
BOT
75%
14%
12%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
CSK
3 - 0
BOT
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |