Champions League 1/16
Global 3-1
Sevilla vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1957 |
SEV
1 - 0
VCF
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
VCF
2 - 0
SEV
50%
21%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
FCB
1 - 1
SEV
73%
15%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
SEV
4 - 1
ATH
47%
22%
31%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
DEP
3 - 1
SEV
33%
22%
45%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
SLB
0 - 0
SPB
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
VST
1 - 6
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
RMA
1 - 0
SLB
76%
13%
11%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1957 |
SLB
1 - 0
ASS
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
SLB
3 - 1
SPC
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |