Champions League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Sevilla vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SEV
2 - 2
FCB
13%
19%
69%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LEG
2 - 1
SEV
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
MUD
1 - 2
SEV
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SEV
0 - 2
VCF
48%
24%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SEV
2 - 0
ATH
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BYM
6 - 0
BVB
69%
18%
13%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
RBL
2 - 1
BYM
10%
16%
74%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
BJK
1 - 3
BYM
14%
19%
67%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BYM
6 - 0
HSV
88%
9%
3%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SCF
0 - 4
BYM
6%
14%
81%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |