Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 6-3
Sevilla vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1944 |
JFC
1 - 1
SEV
31%
22%
48%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
SEV
3 - 0
JFC
85%
9%
5%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
SEV
2 - 2
OVI
69%
16%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
CEL
1 - 5
SEV
37%
23%
40%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
SEV
1 - 2
ESP
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1944 |
FCB
4 - 1
CON
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
CON
0 - 0
FCB
25%
21%
55%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
68%
16%
15%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
SAB
3 - 2
FCB
28%
23%
49%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
FCB
3 - 1
OVI
71%
15%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |