Sevilla vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SPO
2 - 0
SEV
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
SLA
1 - 0
SEV
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
SEV
1 - 0
CEL
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
REC
2 - 1
SEV
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
SEV
1 - 1
BUR
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
ATM
0 - 0
RAY
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
RSO
0 - 2
ATM
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
ATM
3 - 1
ZAR
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATM
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
HER
0 - 0
ATM
30%
27%
44%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |