Sevilla vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
18.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
FCB
4 - 1
SEV
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
ESP
3 - 2
SEV
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
SEV
1 - 2
DEP
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
OVI
3 - 1
SEV
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
SEV
2 - 1
RAC
78%
13%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
ATM
3 - 1
DEP
76%
13%
11%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
OVI
0 - 0
ATM
38%
23%
40%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ATM
4 - 1
RAC
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ATH
1 - 1
ATM
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
ATM
4 - 1
OSA
85%
10%
6%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |