Sevilla vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
CEL
1 - 0
SEV
50%
21%
29%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
SEV
4 - 1
CAS
85%
9%
6%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
BET
2 - 5
SEV
33%
23%
45%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
SEV
6 - 0
ZAR
83%
11%
7%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
FCB
3 - 0
SEV
56%
20%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
ATM
2 - 3
ATH
54%
21%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
OVI
2 - 1
ATM
52%
21%
28%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
ATM
2 - 3
ESP
63%
18%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
VCF
3 - 0
ATM
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
ATM
2 - 3
VAD
83%
11%
7%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |