Sevilla vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
DEP
2 - 1
SEV
36%
23%
41%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
69%
16%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
ATH
1 - 1
SEV
74%
14%
12%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
SEV
3 - 0
GRA
94%
4%
2%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
RSO
2 - 1
SEV
39%
22%
39%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
ATM
2 - 0
RMA
56%
20%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
ATM
0 - 0
DEP
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
CEL
0 - 2
ATM
47%
21%
32%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
ATM
5 - 4
FCB
68%
16%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
ESP
5 - 0
ATM
54%
20%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |