Sevilla vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
RUN
1 - 0
SEV
71%
15%
14%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
CAS
1 - 3
SEV
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1932 |
SEV
5 - 2
SPO
56%
20%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
RSO
2 - 0
SEV
78%
13%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
SEV
3 - 2
RSO
40%
23%
37%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
ATM
1 - 5
OSA
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
RUN
7 - 1
ATM
65%
16%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1932 |
ATM
0 - 0
DEP
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1932 |
ALA
3 - 1
ATM
52%
21%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 May. 1932 |
ATM
6 - 0
ALA
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +2 |