Sevilla vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
ATM
1 - 1
SEV
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
SEV
4 - 1
CEL
67%
16%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
RSO
1 - 0
SEV
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
SEV
7 - 1
RSO
76%
13%
10%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
SEV
7 - 0
CAS
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
ATH
7 - 2
VAD
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
SEV
2 - 0
ATH
60%
19%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
ATH
2 - 1
SEV
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
FCB
3 - 0
ATH
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
ATH
3 - 0
RMA
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |