Sevilla vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
MUR
1 - 1
SEV
23%
21%
56%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
SEV
2 - 1
OVI
70%
16%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
ATM
1 - 1
SEV
62%
18%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
SEV
3 - 1
VCF
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
FCB
5 - 1
SEV
62%
19%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
ATH
3 - 2
CEL
80%
12%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
SAB
1 - 1
ATH
35%
23%
42%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
ATH
6 - 2
SPO
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
RMA
3 - 6
ATH
60%
19%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1947 |
ATH
6 - 0
CAS
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |