Sevilla vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
68.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SEV
1 - 1
RMA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SEV
2 - 2
RAY
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
PSV
2 - 2
SEV
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 0
SEV
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
SEV
5 - 1
ALM
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHL
2 - 2
ARS
25%
26%
49%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
23%
23%
54%
|
96 | 100 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 1
ARS
7%
17%
77%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
0 - 4
ARS
13%
21%
66%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 1
ARS
15%
22%
63%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | +1 |