Sevilla C vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
13º
4º
45
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
49.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SEV
1 - 0
COR
71%
19%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CIS
1 - 1
SEV
52%
24%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SEV
1 - 1
POZ
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
XER
1 - 1
SEV
47%
26%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SEV
0 - 0
CRD
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CDL
1 - 0
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
COR
0 - 1
CDL
21%
25%
54%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CDL
2 - 0
BOL
63%
20%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CIS
0 - 1
CDL
57%
23%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDL
0 - 2
ANT
42%
26%
33%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |