Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-4
Sevilla At. vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
SEV
1 - 0
GIR
31%
29%
40%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
OLI
3 - 1
SEV
71%
20%
9%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
VAL
3 - 0
SEV
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -3 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
SEV
3 - 1
LEV
30%
31%
39%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ATB
2 - 0
SEV
66%
23%
11%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
ALC
2 - 1
VAL
73%
19%
8%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
VAL
2 - 1
ORI
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
VAL
3 - 0
SEV
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
VIL
2 - 1
VAL
74%
19%
7%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
VAL
2 - 2
CFC
45%
31%
24%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |