Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-0
Sevilla At. vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
DAI
1 - 0
SEV
39%
30%
31%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
SEV
1 - 1
LIN
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1987 |
UTR
0 - 1
SEV
51%
22%
26%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
LEG
0 - 0
SEV
57%
25%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
CAD
0 - 2
SEV
49%
23%
29%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
UTR
1 - 2
COR
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
AYA
0 - 0
UTR
34%
30%
36%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1987 |
UTR
0 - 1
SEV
51%
22%
26%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
UTR
7 - 0
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
AGD
1 - 1
UTR
82%
11%
7%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | +1 |