Sevilla At. vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
UDL
2 - 0
SEV
61%
24%
15%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
SEV
1 - 0
RSO
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
LEV
2 - 0
SEV
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SEV
0 - 0
RAY
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
CCF
1 - 1
SEV
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ZAR
4 - 2
ALA
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
ZAR
31%
27%
43%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MUR
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ELC
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
UDL
2 - 2
ZAR
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |