Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Sevilla At. vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
RUN
2 - 1
SEV
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SEV
3 - 1
ALC
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
RJA
0 - 0
SEV
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SEV
0 - 1
CAD
39%
25%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ROQ
2 - 2
SEV
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
RUN
2 - 1
SEV
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
OVI
2 - 0
RUN
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
RUN
5 - 1
SPB
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MIR
0 - 0
RUN
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
RUN
1 - 0
CFP
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |