Sevilla At. vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
46.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ZAR
4 - 0
SEV
87%
10%
3%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SEV
2 - 2
UDL
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RSO
1 - 0
SEV
72%
20%
8%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SEV
1 - 2
LEV
26%
28%
47%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
RAY
1 - 0
SEV
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALA
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
HER
3 - 2
MUR
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ELC
1 - 1
MUR
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 4
ZAR
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
UDL
0 - 1
MUR
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |