Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-1
Sevilla At. vs RC Portuense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
BAL
2 - 1
SEV
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
SEV
0 - 0
CDB
61%
23%
17%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
CPC
4 - 2
SEV
46%
27%
27%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
SEV
0 - 2
MAL
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
AFC
0 - 0
SEV
25%
29%
46%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
RC Portuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
LIN
3 - 1
POR
36%
30%
33%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
POR
2 - 1
BET
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
JOV
1 - 0
POR
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
POR
1 - 1
CFC
42%
28%
30%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
BAL
2 - 2
POR
46%
28%
26%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |