Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-3
Sevilla At. vs Paterna CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
AGD
3 - 0
SEV
77%
17%
6%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
SEV
0 - 0
ONT
53%
29%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
ALG
1 - 0
SEV
65%
23%
11%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
SEV
2 - 2
AGD
37%
31%
32%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
ORI
1 - 2
SEV
55%
23%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paterna CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ACE
1 - 0
PAT
89%
8%
4%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
PAT
2 - 1
GAN
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +3 |