Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-4
Sevilla At. vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
SEV
2 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
CPC
1 - 1
SEV
46%
28%
26%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
ATH
3 - 0
SEV
84%
11%
6%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
SEV
2 - 1
SSR
72%
19%
9%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1987 |
SEV
0 - 0
UTR
84%
10%
6%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
LLE
2 - 0
ATH
58%
23%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
ATH
3 - 0
SEV
84%
11%
6%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
ATH
3 - 0
CFC
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
FIG
1 - 0
ATH
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
ATH
0 - 1
RAY
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |