Sever Murmansk vs Znamya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2014 |
FCR
0 - 3
SEV
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
DNE
2 - 0
SEV
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
LOK
0 - 1
SEV
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
SEV
1 - 1
FCD
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
SEV
4 - 0
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Znamya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2014 |
ZNA
0 - 1
DNE
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
ZNA
1 - 5
LOK
22%
26%
52%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
FCD
3 - 0
ZNA
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
STR
3 - 0
ZNA
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
ZNA
0 - 0
PSK
24%
26%
50%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |