Sever Murmansk vs Tosno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
FCD
3 - 1
SEV
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
STR
3 - 0
SEV
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
4 - 1
DNE
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
1 - 1
LOK
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
0 - 0
FCR
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
TOS
1 - 0
DIN
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
TOS
4 - 1
KOL
81%
13%
5%
|
59 | 22 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
TOS
5 - 0
ZNA
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 1
TOS
14%
24%
62%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 2
TOS
15%
23%
62%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |