Sever Murmansk vs Strogino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
24.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
PSK
2 - 0
SEV
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
TOS
1 - 0
SEV
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SEV
2 - 4
ZEN
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
TEK
0 - 0
SEV
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 0
SEV
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Strogino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
STR
0 - 0
DNE
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
STR
4 - 1
LOK
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
FCD
2 - 1
STR
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PSK
1 - 0
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
TOS
1 - 0
STR
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |