Sever Murmansk vs Spartak Kostroma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+196%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 1
SEV
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
VOR
3 - 2
SEV
36%
27%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
SEV
0 - 0
TOR
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
SEV
2 - 3
DIK
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
SAC
2 - 2
SEV
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Kostroma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 2
TOR
26%
29%
45%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 1
DIK
71%
19%
11%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
SAC
1 - 0
SPA
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
PSK
1 - 2
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 1
VOL
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |