Sever Murmansk vs SAC Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
SEV
0 - 0
PSK
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
VOL
0 - 1
SEV
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
FKZ
0 - 1
SEV
35%
26%
40%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
SEV
0 - 1
IST
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
SEV
1 - 0
NAR
60%
21%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SAC Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SAC
1 - 3
FKZ
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
SAC
2 - 4
VOR
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SAC
1 - 2
TOR
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
DIK
6 - 1
SAC
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
TOR
4 - 0
SAC
73%
18%
10%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | -1 |