Sever Murmansk vs Karelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
1º
1º
9
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
22 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SEV
4 - 0
SVZ
82%
12%
7%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
PSK
1 - 2
SEV
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SLG
2 - 1
SEV
14%
17%
70%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SEV
4 - 0
KKO
88%
9%
4%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
SEV
3 - 0
SLG
80%
12%
8%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Karelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 5
SLG
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SVZ
2 - 1
KAR
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
3 - 0
TOS
12%
20%
67%
|
23 | 58 | 35 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
PSK
37%
25%
39%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PSK
2 - 0
KAR
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |