Sever Murmansk vs Karelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
FCD
0 - 0
SEV
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VOL
2 - 2
SEV
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
SEV
1 - 0
PSK
33%
26%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SEV
7 - 1
FCR
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
KHI
4 - 0
SEV
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Karelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 2
KAR
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FCD
2 - 0
KAR
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
KAR
1 - 0
FCR
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
KAR
2 - 3
PSK
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TKA
1 - 0
KAR
71%
19%
11%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |