Sever Murmansk vs Zelenograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2010 |
IST
1 - 1
SEV
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
NAR
0 - 1
SEV
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
SEV
2 - 3
LOK
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
SEV
2 - 0
DNE
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
TEK
0 - 1
SEV
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zelenograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2010 |
FKZ
0 - 2
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
FKZ
1 - 3
VOR
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 2
FKZ
66%
21%
13%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
DIK
0 - 1
FKZ
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
FKZ
3 - 0
SAC
55%
24%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |