Sever Murmansk vs Istra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
SEV
1 - 0
TKA
27%
25%
49%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
KAR
4 - 4
SEV
41%
24%
36%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
DVO
3 - 2
SEV
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
DIK
2 - 0
SEV
32%
24%
43%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
SEV
3 - 4
SAT
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Istra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 1
IST
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
IST
3 - 2
DIK
66%
21%
14%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
IST
2 - 3
DVO
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
SAT
0 - 1
IST
51%
24%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ZNA
0 - 3
IST
10%
19%
72%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | +1 |