Sever Murmansk vs Dnepr Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
PSK
2 - 0
SEV
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
DIN
6 - 0
SEV
73%
17%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
SEV
0 - 2
SPA
29%
27%
44%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
SEV
2 - 0
SHC
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
VOL
2 - 0
SEV
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
DNE
1 - 4
DVO
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
DNE
4 - 0
DIK
71%
19%
11%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
ZNA
2 - 2
DNE
10%
22%
68%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
SAT
1 - 2
DNE
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
LOK
1 - 0
DNE
45%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |