Sever Murmansk vs Dnepr Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
DIN
3 - 0
SEV
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
PSK
2 - 1
SEV
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
DVO
0 - 0
SEV
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
SHC
1 - 1
SEV
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SEV
0 - 2
TOR
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
DNE
1 - 1
DVO
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
DNE
3 - 0
DIK
52%
24%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
DNE
1 - 2
TOR
22%
26%
52%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
DNE
1 - 0
DIK
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
SAC
0 - 1
DNE
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |