Sever Murmansk vs Dinamo Kostroma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ZNA
0 - 4
SEV
12%
19%
69%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
SAT
2 - 2
SEV
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
SEV
0 - 2
LOK
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
SEV
2 - 2
DNE
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
PSK
2 - 0
SEV
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Kostroma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
DIK
0 - 1
DVO
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
DIK
0 - 1
ZNA
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
DIK
1 - 1
SAT
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 0
DIK
74%
17%
9%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
DNE
4 - 0
DIK
71%
19%
11%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |