Sestri Levante vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sestri Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
SES
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SES
0 - 1
BOR
45%
27%
29%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PIN
0 - 5
SES
20%
21%
59%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SES
1 - 1
LIG
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PIS
4 - 0
SES
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
DER
2 - 2
GOZ
17%
25%
58%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ACQ
0 - 3
DER
70%
19%
10%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DER
1 - 2
BEL
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 2
DER
81%
14%
5%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
DER
0 - 2
NOV
18%
24%
58%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |