Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-0
Sestao Sport Club vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sestao Sport Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
SSC
3 - 1
AVI
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
RUN
0 - 1
SSC
23%
24%
52%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
MIR
4 - 2
SSC
35%
28%
38%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
SSC
2 - 0
LAU
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
LUG
0 - 4
SSC
35%
28%
38%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
ZAR
1 - 0
RUN
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
RUN
0 - 1
SSC
23%
24%
52%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
RUN
1 - 1
ZAM
75%
18%
7%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
GDE
5 - 0
RUN
51%
26%
23%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -3 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
RUN
1 - 0
TUD
55%
27%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |