Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-2
Sestao Sport Club vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sestao Sport Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
DEP
0 - 1
SSC
26%
27%
47%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
SSC
3 - 3
BAS
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
ENS
3 - 2
SSC
39%
27%
35%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
SSC
4 - 0
LEO
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
ATH
0 - 2
SSC
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
RCF
3 - 1
VAD
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
LOG
2 - 0
RCF
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
RCF
0 - 0
VIL
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
HER
1 - 2
RCF
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
RCF
0 - 2
CDT
70%
21%
10%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |