Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-2
Sestao Sport Club vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sestao Sport Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
SSC
0 - 0
SLA
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1988 |
FIG
0 - 2
SSC
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
SSC
2 - 1
RMC
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
RBU
0 - 0
SSC
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
SSC
2 - 1
MLL
39%
30%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
ARO
2 - 1
LUG
48%
28%
24%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
LUG
1 - 0
RCF
75%
18%
7%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
AVI
2 - 0
LUG
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
LUG
2 - 0
BAS
64%
23%
13%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
CDU
0 - 1
LUG
38%
32%
31%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |