Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Sestao Sport Club vs Balmaseda FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sestao Sport Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1980 |
SSC
0 - 1
ATH
55%
27%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
CDT
1 - 1
SSC
72%
20%
9%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
SSC
1 - 1
HUE
67%
23%
11%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
DEP
2 - 0
SSC
79%
15%
7%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
BFC
1 - 0
SSC
35%
29%
37%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Balmaseda FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1980 |
BFC
1 - 1
SDE
66%
21%
13%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
MUT
3 - 1
BFC
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
BFC
2 - 1
AFT
75%
16%
8%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
BKE
2 - 1
BFC
45%
27%
28%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
BFC
1 - 0
SSC
35%
29%
37%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +3 |