Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-4
Sestao Sport Club vs Badalona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sestao Sport Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
CAU
0 - 1
SSC
29%
28%
43%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
SSC
0 - 2
ATH
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
SSC
4 - 0
BAR
83%
11%
5%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
SIE
3 - 4
SSC
12%
23%
65%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
SSC
2 - 0
LUG
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Badalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
BAD
1 - 0
TOR
78%
14%
7%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
GIR
2 - 1
BAD
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
BAD
2 - 1
IBI
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
TER
3 - 1
BAD
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
CAL
1 - 2
BAD
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |