Sestao River vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
76%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sestao River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CDU
2 - 4
SES
23%
24%
52%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SES
0 - 1
SNT
82%
13%
5%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
GER
0 - 2
SES
56%
26%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
BFC
1 - 1
SES
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SES
0 - 0
URD
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 2
SPO
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
GIR
3 - 1
LUG
66%
22%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
DEP
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAD
2 - 1
LUG
62%
24%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
RAC
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |