Sestao River vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sestao River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SES
0 - 1
LUG
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 1
SES
60%
24%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
0 - 1
SES
17%
23%
60%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SES
1 - 1
UNI
31%
29%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SES
4 - 0
PAL
81%
14%
5%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ZAR
1 - 1
GER
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GER
0 - 1
ALF
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SNT
1 - 2
GER
13%
19%
68%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
GER
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GER
0 - 1
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |