Servette vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1999 |
SER
3 - 1
YVE
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
NEX
3 - 2
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
STR
2 - 1
SER
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 1999 |
SER
1 - 1
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
FCA
3 - 2
SER
25%
26%
50%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
STR
0 - 2
RBS
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
SCA
1 - 2
STR
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
STR
2 - 1
SER
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
STR
2 - 2
AUS
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1999 |
STR
2 - 1
RIE
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |