Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 1-2
Servette vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
51.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SER
0 - 6
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
0 - 0
SER
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 1
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SER
3 - 2
YVE
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SER
3 - 1
YOB
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
ESA
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
0 - 0
SER
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
MPT
0 - 5
SPB
15%
18%
68%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 0
MPT
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 2
RAY
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |