Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Servette vs Slavia Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 0
SER
59%
21%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1966 |
SER
2 - 0
SPA
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
AIF
1 - 2
SER
31%
21%
48%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1966 |
SER
1 - 1
AIF
79%
12%
9%
|
73 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1966 |
MUN
4 - 1
SER
81%
12%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Slavia Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
BVR
1 - 0
SSO
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
MAR
1 - 1
SSO
33%
29%
38%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1966 |
SSO
3 - 2
CHB
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
BOT
2 - 0
SSO
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1966 |
SSO
2 - 0
STR
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |