Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-2
Servette vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
NOB
0 - 5
SER
24%
27%
49%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
SER
1 - 1
LAU
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
PAO
2 - 0
SER
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
ZUR
3 - 0
SER
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
SER
2 - 0
SIO
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
PAO
2 - 0
SER
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
PAO
2 - 1
VEJ
70%
17%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
VEJ
3 - 0
PAO
37%
22%
40%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
ZAG
0 - 2
PAO
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
PAO
2 - 0
ZAG
59%
21%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |