Servette vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
7º
5º
36
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 55 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 54 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 51 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 50 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 49 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 49 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 41 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 34 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 30 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
67.5% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32.5% | 20.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 3
SER
45%
25%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SER
3 - 0
SIO
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
SER
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
STG
1 - 1
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SER
1 - 0
LAU
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 3
YVE
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCL
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
THU
2 - 3
FCL
33%
24%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 2
LAU
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 0
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |